Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.370599 2.733141 3.138033 3.624726 4.195183 4.844203 5.640791
2025-04-06 1.826540 2.305966 2.897016 3.683719 4.710061 6.012664 7.805514
2025-04-13 1.486564 1.991300 2.655328 3.601414 4.928574 6.744527 9.452635
2025-04-20 1.330177 1.871234 2.622540 3.755989 5.447088 7.915510 11.862977
2025-04-27 1.167924 1.711071 2.499983 3.748823 5.712179 8.741243 13.887788
2025-05-04 1.072893 1.630883 2.475289 3.872420 6.178067 9.924316 16.664309
2025-05-11 0.971511 1.525313 2.394195 3.889338 6.466011 10.852562 19.166197
2025-05-18 0.886111 1.432860 2.319488 3.901294 6.739087 11.785319 21.830025
2025-05-25 0.791014 1.312578 2.183296 3.787173 6.769340 12.283447 23.756846
2025-06-01 0.737496 1.255728 2.146392 3.840619 7.106870 13.391196 27.075698
2025-06-08 0.696754 1.216033 2.133779 3.934637 7.530786 14.724291 31.107240
2025-06-15 0.648385 1.157213 2.079586 3.941602 7.781884 15.744594 34.652061
2025-06-22 0.584436 1.069558 1.974383 3.860466 7.895719 16.613313 38.332722
2025-06-29 0.542641 1.020217 1.938787 3.921315 8.336295 18.314724 44.537638
2025-07-06 0.490477 0.943973 1.839888 3.833307 8.431934 19.249880 49.068285
2025-07-13 0.469558 0.927047 1.857678 3.998817 9.134686 21.766956 58.502935
2025-07-20 0.435021 0.877963 1.802102 3.991143 9.424270 23.322822 65.713196
2025-07-27 0.415777 0.858549 1.807060 4.123518 10.083692 25.979438 76.998045
2025-08-03 0.389466 0.820794 1.766862 4.141640 10.453894 27.938830 86.744653
2025-08-10 0.365371 0.785168 1.727007 4.154447 10.812943 29.949868 97.333055
2025-08-17 0.334717 0.731441 1.639020 4.032213 10.778768 30.803843 104.220329
2025-08-24 0.318200 0.708460 1.620907 4.089456 11.266470 33.362381 118.197636
2025-08-31 0.305493 0.693013 1.619085 4.190164 11.902706 36.549097 135.774153